2021 NFL Mock Draft 1st Round (No-Trades)
Free agency is under way and there has been surprising news so far. And this changed a good amount of my regular predictions. With that said, here is my take of the 2021 first round of this year’s draft.
1 – Jacksonville Jaguars – Trevor Lawrence – QB – Clemson
No comment… Moving on.
2 – New York Jets – Zach Wilson – QB – BYU
I’m not in love with this pick. After Lawrence is off the board it is B-Team guys. The best pick available is Sewell. But since the Jets don’t think logic, they will probably pick a quarterback. Plus, Saleh might want to pick his guy. Classic new Head Coach move.
3 – Miami Dolphins (Via Houston Texans) – Ja’Marr Chase – WR – LSU
Ever heard of Justin Jefferson? He was the WR2 because Chase was the WR1. Dolphins could use a stud at the position. Yes Willer Fuller is coming to Miami, but his injury history is scary.
4 – Atlanta Falcons – Penei Sewell – OT – Oregon
You thought I was going to say quarterback? Matty Ice or not, if you are not in love with these quarterbacks (most aren’t) then why bother? This high up you have the second-best talent fall in your lap. The Jets should pick Sewell. But they aren’t that bright. History says so.
That said, this guy if picked should be there for a long time. He is just a beast. He will help the lacking run game the last few years and protect the quarterback.
5 – Cincinnati Bengals – Rashawn Slater – OT – Northwestern
With Sewell off the board and priority one being O-Line for when Joe Burrow returns, they have no choice. The second-best OT off the board.
6 – Philadelphia Eagles – DeVonta Smith – WR – Alabama
The wide receiver position needs to be attended to. Many will say they tanked to this spot to get one. With Chase most likely off the board, Smith is welcomed to the Eagles. Inserting themselves with a new era of players and coaches.
7 – Detroit Lions – Micah Parsons – LB – Penn State
They just traded for Goff who has at least two years in Detroit under contract. Not in love with the QB class? Take next best available and this just happens to be a team need.
8 – Carolina Panthers – Justin Fields – QB – Ohio State
I personally don’t like this pick if I’m the Panthers or a fan. OSU has not produced NFL quarterbacks and did not like his play in his last NCAA season. But aside all that, cut and dry the situation in Carolina and Matt Rhule wanting his guy leads to Justin Fields. And if he falls in the lap of the Panthers, lock it in.
9 – Denver Broncos – Caleb Farley – CB – Virginia Tech
There is a rumor about a quarterback (Yet again…) but with Mahomes and Herbert in the AFC West, the secondary needs work immediately.
10 – Dallas Cowboys – Patrick Surtain II – CB – Alabama
He and Surtain might be flipped mind you. Same thing goes. Jerry Jones had many stunned last year picking best available in a wide receiver. But with last year’s defense being historically bad and the NFC improving their wide receiver units, JerryWorld needs to tighten it up in the secondary. Dak and company are meant to put up points. Not prevent burnt toast.
11 – New York Giants – Kwity Paye – Edge – Michigan
The Giants have been predicted to pick a wide receiver in the draft for about four years in a row now. Well, not by me. They need defensive help more after their offensive pieces recently acquired. Pass rush needs to get more amped.
12 – San Francisco 49ers – Mac Jones – QB – Alabama
Jimmy G has something weird going on. The odd years (2017,2019) he has played great. The even years (2018,2020) he’s been hurt. In 2021 they were likely to cut him and save crucial cap space. Trent Williams is also resigned to a record deal. With trades for a quarterback diminished and might being Jimmy’s last year, Mac Jones is a solid play. Some like him more than the other QB available in Trey Lance.
13 – Los Angeles Chargers – Kyle Pitts – TE – Florida
Hunter Henry is now a Patriot. Herbert needs weapons. With Kyle Pitts being heavily thought as a Weapon-X type player, this will go great with the Charger offense.
14 – Minnesota Vikings – Christian Barmore – DT – Alabama
The Vikings defense needs an overhaul after factoring players leaving the last two years. Some will say it starts from the pass rush. Barmore best available on some charts.
15 – New England Patriots – Trevon Moehrig – S – TCU
The Patriots had one of the best offenses in the NFL offseason by a good margin. Wide recievers, tight ends, bolstered up weaknesses, and what is left outside quarterback even though Cam Newton will come back stronger? Patrick Chung announced his retirement and that puts a whole at safety. Problem solved.
16 – Arizona Cardinals – Christian Darrisaw – OT – Virgina Tech
Kyler Murray needs protection. The offensive line has been neglected for a few years now. There is no excuse. Get out there and get that man an OT. Lock it in.
17 – Las Vegas Raiders – Gregory Rousseau – Edge – Miami
Both offensive and defensive fronts need help. But the pass rush is real weak. Instead of having Mahomes and Herbert have time in the pocket twice a year, bolster it up to someone who can really factor.
18 – Miami Dolphins – Tevin Jenkins – OT – Oklahoma State
Wide receiver picked third overall and time to get back to Tua again. That offensive line was horrible. Time for another piece and hope it works. Because if Tua can’t throw the ball down the field, it will be rough for Miami.
19 – Washington Football Team – Jaylen Waddle – WR – Alabama
Some will be disgusted that Waddle dropped down this low. It comes down to draft needs. With the offensive weapons consisting of McLaurin, Samuel, and Waddle, watch out. The 2020 NFC Division winners are going to fight to keep their title again. Which is always a complete dogfight as always.
20 – Chicago Bears – Trey Lance – QB – North Dakota State
The last of the big 5. Which is a subpar one in my opinion. But the Bears for the last decade or so have been all over with quarterbacks. Could have brought back Mitch but settled on Andy Dalton while the Nick Foles trade looks even worse for GM Ryan Pace. There is a continuation of the quarterback crisis in Chicago and they hope Lance might give a little hope. That’s if Nagy who has been on a very warm seat for two years now doesn’t get canned.
21 – Indianapolis Colts – Jayson Oweh – Edge – Penn State
Offense got retooled and keep the defense going. He slots himself right in the front replacing Justin Houston with a lot of miles on him. It all works out.
22 – Tennessee Titans – Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah – LB – Norte Dame
With the playoff games involving stopping the run, they end up short. Mike Vrabel and company have some defensive work to polish up on. It starts now. Picking up a linebacker that will keep the mobile quarters in check.
23 – New York Jets (Via Seattle Seahawks) – Jaycee Horn – CB – South Carolina
The Jets need secondary help. With going heavy on linebacker in free agency, they need a safety to help with coverage. With the Pats coming back into swing and the Bills and Dolphins coming off great seasons, they need it if they don’t want to be in the bottom of the division again.
24 – Pittsburgh Steelers – Kyle Trask – QB – Florida
I honestly think this could be a far one out there, but Big Ben shouldn’t be back after 2021. His legs and arm just aren’t there anymore. Rudolph isn’t the answer, Haskins is slim to none with the planets aligning, and with the 2022 draft class not looking like a great quarterback class, the best one left on the board is Trask.
25 – Jacksonville Jaguars (Via Los Angeles Rams) Jaelan Phillips – Edge – Miami
The offense is looking powered up. Phillips might help bring back Sacksonville. That and Trevor Lawrence is a lethal threat.
26 – Cleveland Browns – Nick Bolton – LB – Missouri
If it weren’t for that one bad weather game, it could have been one of the most horrific defenses in NFL history passed on points allowed per game. There is Garrett, Ward, and then everyone else. The linebacker in that division can really help them. Especially with the Ravens running game.
27 – Baltimore Ravens – Rashod Bateman – WR – Minnesota
With Culley gone to coach the Texans and a new wide receiver to be consistent midfield, Bateman can change the Ravens offense to bring them to a different level.
28 – New Orleans Saints – Asante Samuel Jr – CB – Florida State
With the worst cap situation crisis anyone as seen along with a crazy division with good wide receiver units, Saints go corner to keep up with up.
29 – Green Bay Packers – Kadarius Toney – WR – Florida
There are other wide receivers available, but I will factor height in this pick. It would be a stretch to go LSU product Terrance Marshall Jr because of his size being better than others on the board. But with Rondale and/or Elijah Moore (Two Moore players) both listed by Pro Football Focus at 5’9”, I’m going Toney. Rodgers needs a wide receiver and finally they give it to him.
30 – Buffalo Bills – Samuel Cosmi – OT – Texas
Some were going to argue running back. Not three years in a row. Not happening. Get the running back better with more pass protection with the 6’7” Texas stud on Cosmi.
31 – Kansas City Chiefs – Alex Leatherwood – OT – Alabama
Anyone watch the Super Bowl offensive line for the Chiefs? See how both tackles were cut for salary cap purposes and production? Alex Leatherwood. If he is somehow available, Chief fans won’t sleep at night if he is passed on.
32 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Najee Harris – RB – Alabama
This might be a reach or it might not. Maybe it could also be the Super Bowl champs not wanting to over pay for a running back and instead of paying Playoff Lenny (Fournette) they start with Harris and he will rotate with Ronald Jones Jr.